RSD Alcalá vs Toscal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
14%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
COL
1 - 2
ALC
55%
27%
19%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
ALC
2 - 2
NUM
75%
17%
8%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
LEG
1 - 0
ALC
62%
24%
14%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
ALC
1 - 3
CIE
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1978 |
ACF
3 - 1
ALC
55%
26%
19%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Toscal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
TCF
1 - 1
LPA
54%
22%
24%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
VDB
1 - 0
TCF
45%
27%
28%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
TCF
3 - 0
CAR
61%
21%
17%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
SAL
1 - 1
TCF
52%
25%
24%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1978 |
TCF
3 - 0
MAN
50%
25%
25%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +2 |