Alcalá del Río CF vs Castilblanco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.4%
5.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcalá del Río CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
CAM
2 - 2
ALC
61%
20%
19%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
ALC
2 - 2
CAR
84%
11%
5%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
3 - 1
ALC
23%
21%
56%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ALC
2 - 2
ALC
78%
14%
8%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
CDD
2 - 3
ALC
16%
19%
65%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Castilblanco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 1
SAL
8%
14%
79%
|
9 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
PRI
5 - 0
CAS
65%
19%
16%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 2
VAL
29%
24%
47%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
LIC
1 - 0
CAS
41%
23%
37%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
CAZ
2 - 1
CAS
78%
14%
8%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |