CD Alcalá vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
61.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2004 |
QRE
1 - 1
ALC
61%
21%
18%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
ECI
2 - 3
ALC
78%
16%
7%
|
23 | 54 | 31 | +1 |
| 27 May. 1984 |
RIO
1 - 1
ALC
37%
28%
34%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1984 |
ALC
2 - 0
BRE
43%
28%
29%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1984 |
ILI
3 - 2
ALC
71%
19%
10%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
RJA
0 - 2
CDL
46%
28%
26%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
RJA
1 - 2
EXT
41%
29%
30%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
CPC
3 - 2
RJA
41%
28%
31%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
RJA
5 - 1
PPJ
42%
29%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
COR
1 - 0
RJA
41%
28%
32%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |