CD Alcalá vs Mairena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SEV
2 - 2
ALC
21%
24%
55%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ALC
3 - 2
BET
36%
26%
38%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
REC
2 - 2
ALC
24%
24%
52%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
LEB
1 - 4
ALC
31%
26%
44%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ALC
2 - 3
SRQ
33%
26%
41%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Mairena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
MAI
1 - 1
SRQ
25%
25%
50%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ASJ
2 - 1
MAI
37%
27%
37%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
MAI
1 - 2
CAD
63%
21%
16%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
CON
0 - 1
MAI
27%
26%
47%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
MAI
2 - 2
ARC
68%
20%
12%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |