CD Alcalá vs Cerro de Reyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
13%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
AGD
1 - 1
ALC
39%
30%
32%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
ALC
0 - 1
EXT
49%
27%
25%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
ALC
1 - 0
POR
41%
28%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
AGU
3 - 4
ALC
53%
25%
22%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
ALC
2 - 1
CDL
36%
29%
34%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Cerro de Reyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
CER
1 - 0
AGU
23%
26%
51%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
CDL
7 - 1
CER
67%
22%
12%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
CER
1 - 5
SEV
28%
28%
44%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
CCF
4 - 0
CER
73%
18%
9%
|
38 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
CER
2 - 5
MEL
35%
29%
36%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -2 |