CD Alcalá vs Baza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
32.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
RJA
3 - 0
ALC
55%
26%
19%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
ALC
2 - 1
VVA
45%
27%
28%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
ECI
1 - 0
ALC
49%
27%
24%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
ALC
2 - 0
ALM
58%
24%
18%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
AGD
1 - 1
ALC
56%
26%
18%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Baza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
BAZ
0 - 1
CDL
38%
29%
33%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2005 |
BAZ
2 - 1
CIU
15%
23%
62%
|
45 | 72 | 27 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
CCF
1 - 1
BAZ
75%
17%
8%
|
44 | 69 | 25 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
BAZ
0 - 0
SEV
30%
29%
41%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 0
BAZ
63%
21%
16%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |