CD Alcalá vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.5%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
32.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
EXT
2 - 4
ALC
47%
27%
27%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
POR
1 - 0
ALC
49%
28%
23%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
ALC
1 - 1
AGU
38%
29%
33%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
CDL
1 - 0
ALC
52%
27%
21%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
ALC
0 - 1
SEV
31%
30%
39%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
AGD
1 - 0
AGU
41%
29%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
CDL
2 - 1
AGD
49%
28%
23%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
AGD
0 - 1
SEV
33%
31%
36%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
CCF
4 - 0
AGD
71%
19%
10%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
AGD
3 - 0
MEL
45%
30%
25%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |