Alcains vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.5%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
73%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+99%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcains
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
OLI
3 - 0
ALC
59%
21%
21%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
ALC
1 - 0
MOR
23%
21%
56%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
SER
0 - 0
ALC
68%
19%
13%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
MAR
5 - 1
ALC
74%
16%
11%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
ALC
1 - 1
VIT
26%
22%
52%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
UDL
0 - 0
OLI
73%
18%
9%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
CON
1 - 4
UDL
25%
25%
50%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
UDL
0 - 3
GFC
10%
20%
70%
|
42 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
MOR
0 - 1
UDL
19%
24%
57%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
VIT
0 - 1
UDL
18%
22%
60%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | +1 |