Alcains vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.4%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
72.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcains
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
UDL
2 - 0
ALC
90%
9%
2%
|
18 | 53 | 35 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
ALC
1 - 2
IRI
14%
18%
69%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
ALV
3 - 1
ALC
85%
10%
4%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
ALC
1 - 1
SER
8%
15%
77%
|
16 | 41 | 25 | +2 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
ALC
0 - 2
FAT
6%
13%
81%
|
17 | 46 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
CAL
0 - 0
BEN
31%
27%
42%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
ADN
1 - 1
CAL
53%
25%
22%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
CAL
2 - 2
OLE
40%
27%
33%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
PEN
0 - 2
CAL
26%
26%
48%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
TOR
1 - 0
CAL
61%
22%
16%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |