Alcabon vs Rayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
2.1%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
17.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.8%
4-4
1.1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.7%
38.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
2%
4-5
0.5%
5-6
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.9%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
POL
5 - 0
ALC
61%
19%
21%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
BAR
1 - 1
ALC
41%
21%
38%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
ALC
5 - 5
GUA
45%
20%
35%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
CAM
8 - 0
ALC
72%
15%
13%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
TAL
6 - 0
ALC
58%
19%
23%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Rayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
RAY
1 - 5
TAL
23%
20%
57%
|
5 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
RAY
0 - 1
TOR
19%
18%
63%
|
5 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
ORO
7 - 2
RAY
54%
19%
27%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
RAY
4 - 4
RCC
32%
20%
47%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
NOV
4 - 0
RAY
88%
8%
4%
|
5 | 13 | 8 | 0 |