Albuquerque Sol vs Tucson analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
57.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albuquerque Sol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2016 |
TUC
5 - 0
ALB
70%
19%
11%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
OKL
2 - 0
ALB
64%
21%
16%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
ALB
2 - 0
LAS
53%
21%
26%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
ALB
0 - 2
TUC
26%
24%
50%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2016 |
ALB
1 - 2
SPR
73%
16%
11%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Tucson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2017 |
COL
2 - 0
TUC
41%
24%
35%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
SDZ
0 - 2
TUC
21%
23%
56%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2017 |
TUC
3 - 1
CRS
73%
17%
10%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
TUC
1 - 1
BYU
79%
15%
7%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
TUC
0 - 3
BYU
81%
13%
6%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |