Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
28.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
OMI
1 - 1
ALB
44%
28%
28%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
ALB
0 - 1
FUK
69%
18%
13%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
ALB
0 - 0
VIS
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
ALB
5 - 0
NAG
27%
26%
47%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
JUB
0 - 0
ALB
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
SAG
1 - 3
NAG
26%
26%
48%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
CER
3 - 2
SAG
61%
21%
18%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
4 - 1
SAG
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
SAG
3 - 1
KAR
24%
25%
51%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
OMI
1 - 0
SAG
36%
27%
37%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |