Albirex Niigata vs Roasso Kumamoto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
21%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2022 |
ALB
3 - 0
MON
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
MIT
0 - 3
ALB
33%
27%
40%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
ALB
3 - 0
YOK
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
MAC
2 - 1
ALB
33%
28%
39%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
ALB
4 - 3
TOK
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Roasso Kumamoto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2022 |
ROA
1 - 1
VEN
34%
28%
39%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
THE
2 - 3
ROA
30%
28%
43%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
ROA
1 - 1
JEF
44%
27%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
OIT
1 - 2
ROA
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
ROA
0 - 2
RYK
55%
23%
21%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |