League Cup Japan Round 1

Albirex Niigata vs RB Omiya Ardija analysis

Albirex Niigata RB Omiya Ardija
70 ELO 67
1.7% Tilt -11.1%
525º General ELO ranking 1363º
19º Country ELO ranking 30º
ELO win probability
50.9%
Albirex Niigata
23.6%
Draw
25.5%
RB Omiya Ardija

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
Albirex Niigata
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25.5%
Win probability
RB Omiya Ardija
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Albirex Niigata
-19%
+5%
RB Omiya Ardija

ELO progression

Albirex Niigata
RB Omiya Ardija
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Albirex Niigata
Albirex Niigata
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Jun. 2012
VIS
Vissel Kobe
1 - 0
Albirex Niigata
ALB
51%
26%
23%
70 70 0 0
16 Jun. 2012
ALB
Albirex Niigata
1 - 0
Shimizu S-Pulse
SHI
30%
27%
44%
69 79 10 +1
09 Jun. 2012
YFM
Yokohama F. Marinos
0 - 0
Albirex Niigata
ALB
60%
22%
18%
69 76 7 0
06 Jun. 2012
ALB
Albirex Niigata
0 - 1
Kashima Antlers
KAA
22%
24%
54%
69 81 12 0
26 May. 2012
KAR
Kashiwa Reysol
2 - 0
Albirex Niigata
ALB
69%
19%
12%
70 79 9 -1

Matches

RB Omiya Ardija
RB Omiya Ardija
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Jun. 2012
SAN
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0 - 0
RB Omiya Ardija
OMI
72%
18%
10%
67 78 11 0
16 Jun. 2012
OMI
RB Omiya Ardija
2 - 4
Kashiwa Reysol
KAR
24%
26%
50%
68 79 11 -1
09 Jun. 2012
SHI
Shimizu S-Pulse
3 - 1
RB Omiya Ardija
OMI
66%
20%
14%
69 79 10 -1
06 Jun. 2012
OMI
RB Omiya Ardija
1 - 0
Vissel Kobe
VIS
36%
25%
39%
68 70 2 +1
26 May. 2012
JUB
Júbilo Iwata
4 - 0
RB Omiya Ardija
OMI
68%
20%
12%
69 77 8 -1