PDL USA Western Conference Round 2

Albion Colorado vs Flatirons Rush analysis

Albion Colorado Flatirons Rush
18 ELO 35
-6.2% Tilt -3.2%
12881º General ELO ranking 8109º
218º Country ELO ranking 147º
ELO win probability
13.6%
Albion Colorado
17.1%
Draw
69.4%
Flatirons Rush

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.6%
Win probability
Albion Colorado
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
69.3%
Win probability
Flatirons Rush
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

Points and table prediction

Albion Colorado
Their league position
Flatirons Rush
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
15º
22º
17
25º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Ballard
21
33
78.5%
San Juan
25
29
36%
Ventura County Fusion
18
28
16.5%
Flatirons Rush
17
27
20.5%
Glens
21
27
16.5%
Tucson
11º
16
26
12%
Lane United
14º
16
26
8%
Utah United
22
25
17.5%
Redlands
17
24
13%
Snohomish United
10º
17
24
10º
4.5%
Capo II
20
23
11º
20.5%
San Francisco City
18
22
12º
4.5%
Project 51O
16º
14
21
13º
11%
City SC
12º
16
20
14º
12.5%
Almaden
13º
16
20
15º
12%
Oly Town
23º
9
18
16º
12.5%
Academica
18º
11
18
17º
6.5%
Colorado Storm
20º
10
17
18º
13%
Midlakes United
22º
10
17
19º
7.5%
AMSG
17º
12
16
20º
10.5%
Bangers
15º
15
16
21º
9.5%
Albion Colorado
19º
10
14
22º
13.5%
Bigfoot
21º
10
14
23º
8%
Tacoma Stars
27º
6
13
24º
6%
Seahorses
24º
8
12
25º
14%
Davis Legacy
25º
8
12
26º
13%
Marin
26º
8
12
27º
9.5%
West Seattle Junction
30º
4
11
28º
8%
Monterey Bay 2 FC
29º
5
11
29º
26%
Stars FC
28º
5
5
30º
72%
CISA
31º
1
4
31º
77.5%
Coachella
32º
1
1
32º
100%
Expected probabilities
Albion Colorado
Flatirons Rush
Next round
0% 11.5%
Mid-table
100% 88.5%

ELO progression

Albion Colorado
Flatirons Rush
Utah United
CISA
Colorado Storm
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Albion Colorado
Albion Colorado
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jun. 2025
ASC
Albion Colorado
3 - 2
Colorado Storm
COS
80%
13%
8%
18 10 8 0
08 Jun. 2025
ASC
Albion Colorado
1 - 1
Utah United
UTA
32%
22%
47%
18 21 3 0
04 Jun. 2025
COS
Colorado Storm
1 - 0
Albion Colorado
ASC
10%
15%
74%
18 9 9 0
01 Jun. 2025
ASC
Albion Colorado
2 - 0
CISA
CIS
84%
11%
6%
18 9 9 0
23 May. 2025
UTA
Utah United
3 - 2
Albion Colorado
ASC
35%
22%
44%
19 16 3 -1

Matches

Flatirons Rush
Flatirons Rush
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jun. 2025
COS
Colorado Storm
0 - 1
Flatirons Rush
FLA
8%
14%
78%
34 10 24 0
06 Jun. 2025
FLA
Flatirons Rush
2 - 1
Utah United
UTA
75%
14%
10%
34 21 13 0
04 Jun. 2025
CIS
CISA
0 - 1
Flatirons Rush
FLA
8%
13%
79%
34 9 25 0
28 May. 2025
UTA
Utah United
2 - 0
Flatirons Rush
FLA
12%
16%
73%
36 17 19 -2
24 May. 2025
CIS
CISA
1 - 5
Flatirons Rush
FLA
9%
14%
78%
35 9 26 +1