Alberite vs CD Varea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.9%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
80.9%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.7%
0-4
7.9%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
11.2%
0-5
4.3%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.8%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alberite
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ANG
3 - 1
ALB
84%
12%
5%
|
12 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ALB
0 - 5
HAR
9%
17%
74%
|
13 | 41 | 28 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
BAL
3 - 3
ALB
35%
22%
43%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
ALB
1 - 3
CDF
51%
22%
27%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ALF
3 - 2
ALB
76%
16%
8%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
CD Varea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
VAR
5 - 0
CLH
24%
23%
53%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
NAX
0 - 0
VAR
56%
21%
23%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
VAR
2 - 2
CAL
89%
8%
3%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
AGO
5 - 2
VAR
12%
17%
71%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | -3 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
VAR
3 - 1
TED
92%
6%
2%
|
32 | 12 | 20 | 0 |