Deportivo Alavés vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
23.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
RSO
2 - 0
ALA
81%
12%
7%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
ALA
1 - 4
VAD
37%
24%
39%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
DEP
3 - 0
ALA
72%
17%
11%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
ALA
2 - 2
FCB
21%
23%
56%
|
61 | 89 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1954 |
ATH
4 - 0
ALA
86%
9%
5%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
HER
1 - 1
SEV
31%
25%
44%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
HER
1 - 1
RMA
23%
22%
55%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
RSO
4 - 0
HER
73%
16%
11%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
HER
2 - 1
VAD
41%
24%
35%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1954 |
DEP
2 - 1
HER
65%
20%
16%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |