Deportivo Alavés vs Ciudad de Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
7.4%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
MUR
1 - 5
ALA
38%
27%
35%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
ALA
1 - 0
CDT
62%
23%
15%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
REC
0 - 0
ALA
35%
29%
36%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
ALA
2 - 4
VAD
42%
27%
30%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
EIB
1 - 2
ALA
27%
28%
45%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ciudad de Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
CDT
1 - 0
CIU
66%
21%
13%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
CIU
2 - 2
VAD
23%
25%
52%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
ELC
3 - 1
CIU
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
CIU
1 - 0
CCF
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
CIU
2 - 0
ALG
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |