Alatoz vs Villalpardo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
58.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+909%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alatoz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ALA
0 - 3
MUN
51%
21%
28%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CMG
1 - 1
ALA
56%
20%
24%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
ALA
0 - 1
CHA
47%
22%
32%
|
5 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
TEA
2 - 0
ALA
74%
15%
11%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ALA
0 - 3
CAS
13%
17%
70%
|
5 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Villalpardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 2
OSS
54%
20%
26%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
MUN
1 - 3
VIL
19%
20%
61%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
9 - 0
AJU
74%
15%
11%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CMG
1 - 1
VIL
22%
21%
57%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
3 - 1
AEL
22%
21%
58%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +2 |