Alanya Kestelspor vs Muş Menderesspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
18.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
3º
12º
4º
47
1º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alanya Kestelspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ELA
1 - 2
AKS
28%
25%
47%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
AKS
2 - 0
NSG
60%
21%
19%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
BAN
3 - 1
AKS
73%
16%
11%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
CAT
1 - 0
AKS
23%
25%
53%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
AKS
2 - 1
BUR
60%
21%
18%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Muş Menderesspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
MUS
3 - 0
ELA
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
AAF
1 - 3
MUS
56%
22%
23%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
NSG
1 - 2
MUS
51%
24%
24%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
MUS
2 - 1
CAT
47%
26%
27%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
BUR
0 - 0
MUS
51%
25%
25%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |