Alania Vladikavkaz II vs FK Rostov II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.1%
20.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+1665%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
11º
16º
17º
23
1º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
23 | 61 |
1º
|
41% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 56 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 55 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 53 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 53 |
5º
|
8% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 52 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
23 | 48 |
7º
|
7% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 47 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 46 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 45 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 44 |
11º
|
7% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 43 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 39 |
13º
|
20% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 36 |
14º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 34 |
15º
|
28.5% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 21 |
16º
|
40% | |
|
|
16º
|
8 | 20 |
17º
|
53.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 3% |
|
Mid-table
|
8% | 96.5% |
|
Relegation
|
92% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alania Vladikavkaz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
DDA
0 - 0
ALA
81%
12%
7%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ALA
3 - 5
FOT
14%
17%
69%
|
15 | 46 | 31 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
ALA
1 - 5
NAL
11%
16%
74%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
MAS
4 - 2
ALA
76%
15%
9%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
ALA
0 - 2
LEG
15%
18%
67%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
FK Rostov II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ROS
2 - 0
ANG
11%
17%
73%
|
7 | 35 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
DMA
2 - 1
ROS
85%
10%
5%
|
7 | 36 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
ROS
0 - 3
TEK
13%
17%
70%
|
7 | 43 | 36 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
ORE
2 - 0
ROS
81%
12%
7%
|
7 | 27 | 20 | 0 |