LD Alajuelense vs Sporting FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
7.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LD Alajuelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
CSC
1 - 1
LDA
41%
25%
35%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
ADR
1 - 1
LDA
28%
26%
46%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2021 |
LDA
3 - 0
GRE
65%
20%
14%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
LDA
3 - 1
SAP
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2021 |
LDA
3 - 2
SAP
47%
24%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
SPO
0 - 0
ADR
35%
28%
37%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
SPO
3 - 1
CSC
21%
25%
54%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 0
SPO
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
SPO
0 - 1
LFC
37%
26%
37%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 0
SPO
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |