LD Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
28.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LD Alajuelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2020 |
GRE
3 - 1
LDA
17%
23%
60%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2020 |
LDA
3 - 0
SAN
70%
18%
12%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2020 |
CSC
0 - 2
LDA
39%
25%
36%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
LDA
6 - 1
LAU
76%
16%
8%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2020 |
CSH
3 - 3
LDA
45%
25%
31%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Saprissa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2020 |
SAP
1 - 0
LFC
76%
15%
9%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2020 |
SAN
2 - 4
SAP
20%
25%
55%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2020 |
SAP
1 - 0
CSH
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
PER
1 - 1
SAP
27%
26%
47%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
SAP
3 - 1
CSC
61%
21%
18%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |