LD Alajuelense vs CS Cartaginés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
4º
1º
34
1º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
46 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LD Alajuelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
SPO
0 - 1
LDA
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
PFC
1 - 1
LDA
21%
26%
53%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
LDA
4 - 0
GUA
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
LDA
5 - 1
EBC
70%
18%
12%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
LDA
1 - 1
SAP
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CS Cartaginés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
PER
0 - 0
CSC
27%
26%
47%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CSC
1 - 0
SPO
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
MUN
3 - 0
CSC
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
CSC
1 - 0
PFC
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SAP
1 - 0
CSC
61%
21%
18%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |