LD Alajuelense vs Belén Siglo XXI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
9.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LD Alajuelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
LFC
0 - 2
LDA
31%
28%
42%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2015 |
LDA
1 - 1
MUN
77%
16%
7%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2015 |
LDA
3 - 0
CSU
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +2 |
| 30 Jul. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 2
LDA
42%
25%
33%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +2 |
| 21 Jul. 2015 |
LDA
2 - 0
SAN
51%
24%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Belén Siglo XXI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
BEL
3 - 2
UNI
39%
26%
35%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2015 |
CSC
2 - 1
BEL
66%
22%
13%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
BEL
0 - 2
SAP
28%
27%
46%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
BEL
0 - 2
CSH
30%
24%
46%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
CSH
3 - 2
BEL
65%
20%
15%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |