AFC Cup Last 16

Al Zawraa vs Erbil analysis

Al Zawraa Erbil
70 ELO 73
-8.3% Tilt -1.8%
1491º General ELO ranking 1573º
Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
44.5%
Al Zawraa
26.6%
Draw
28.8%
Erbil

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
Al Zawraa
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
28.8%
Win probability
Erbil
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Al Zawraa
+32%
-16%
Erbil

ELO progression

Al Zawraa
Erbil
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Al Zawraa
Al Zawraa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 May. 2009
ALZ
Al Zawraa
2 - 1
Safa
SAF
77%
16%
7%
71 54 17 0
11 May. 2009
ITE
Al-Itesalat
1 - 4
Al Zawraa
ALZ
30%
28%
42%
70 60 10 +1
05 May. 2009
ALH
Al Helal Al Sahely
1 - 1
Al Zawraa
ALZ
14%
22%
64%
70 43 27 0
30 Apr. 2009
SEM
Al Semawah
1 - 1
Al Zawraa
ALZ
38%
30%
33%
70 65 5 0
21 Apr. 2009
ALS
Al-Suwaiq
0 - 1
Al Zawraa
ALZ
13%
20%
66%
70 42 28 0

Matches

Erbil
Erbil
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 May. 2009
ALA
Al Arabi
2 - 0
Erbil
ARB
24%
25%
51%
73 61 12 0
10 May. 2009
ARB
Erbil
2 - 0
Diyala FC
DIY
76%
16%
8%
72 56 16 +1
05 May. 2009
ARB
Erbil
3 - 2
Al-Mabarrah
ALM
73%
17%
10%
73 56 17 -1
26 Apr. 2009
SAM
Samaraa FC
1 - 2
Erbil
ARB
38%
30%
33%
72 64 8 +1
21 Apr. 2009
ARB
Erbil
3 - 0
Al-Oruba
ALO
81%
14%
6%
72 42 30 0