Al-Tirsana vs Al Nasr Benghazi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
43.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Tirsana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2004 |
ALT
1 - 1
ALA
31%
26%
43%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2004 |
ALT
1 - 0
ALW
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2004 |
ALT
0 - 2
RAS
37%
26%
37%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
ALT
0 - 1
TRI
23%
24%
53%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
ITT
2 - 0
ALT
75%
16%
9%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Al Nasr Benghazi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
ANB
0 - 0
ALH
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2004 |
ALA
0 - 0
ANB
49%
24%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2004 |
ANB
1 - 0
ALW
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2004 |
ANB
1 - 0
RAS
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2004 |
TRI
4 - 4
ANB
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |