Al Shorta vs Samarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
14.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Shorta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
QAS
0 - 3
ALS
31%
28%
41%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
ALS
1 - 0
ALS
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2022 |
WAS
2 - 1
ALS
38%
28%
34%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2022 |
ALS
1 - 0
ALN
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
ZAK
1 - 1
ALS
27%
28%
45%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Samarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
SFC
0 - 2
BAG
38%
30%
32%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
ALM
1 - 1
SFC
49%
27%
24%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
SFC
2 - 3
KAR
40%
29%
31%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
NSC
2 - 0
SFC
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2022 |
SFC
0 - 1
NAF
38%
30%
32%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |