Al Shorta vs Karkuk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Shorta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2001 |
ALS
2 - 0
KAR
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2001 |
DUH
1 - 1
ALS
52%
25%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2001 |
ALS
2 - 0
RAM
71%
18%
12%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2001 |
ALS
3 - 1
ALI
71%
18%
12%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2001 |
ALS
4 - 0
ALS
67%
19%
14%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Karkuk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2001 |
ALZ
2 - 0
KFC
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2001 |
DUH
3 - 1
KFC
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2001 |
KFC
0 - 1
ALN
34%
26%
40%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2001 |
KFC
2 - 1
KAR
36%
27%
38%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2001 |
ALS
1 - 2
KFC
57%
22%
21%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |