Al-Shabab vs Al-Khaleej analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
13%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
6º
18º
9º
36
9º
18º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 93 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 83 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 62 |
3º
|
98% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 56 |
4º
|
78% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 54 |
5º
|
66.5% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 48 |
6º
|
41.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 48 |
7º
|
32.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 46 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
41 | 45 |
9º
|
31.5% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 43 |
10º
|
34% | |
|
|
11º
|
36 | 40 |
11º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 39 |
12º
|
44.5% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 36 |
13º
|
53.5% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 33 |
14º
|
29% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 33 |
15º
|
26.5% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 32 |
16º
|
26.5% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 31 |
17º
|
50% | |
|
18º
|
20 | 24 |
18º
|
99% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Shabab
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
ALN
4 - 0
ALS
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
ALS
1 - 1
DHA
49%
26%
26%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
ALW
3 - 1
ALS
27%
25%
48%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
ALS
1 - 1
ALA
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
ALH
3 - 1
ALS
47%
23%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Al-Khaleej
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
ALK
1 - 1
ALH
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
ALI
1 - 1
ALK
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
ALK
1 - 3
ALA
23%
25%
52%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ALF
3 - 1
ALK
59%
25%
17%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
UMM
1 - 3
ALK
27%
25%
48%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |