Al-Shabab vs Al-Ittihad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
31.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
1º
4º
4º
72
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Shabab
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2023 |
ALW
2 - 1
ALS
22%
25%
53%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
ALS
3 - 0
ALI
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
ALF
4 - 1
ALS
42%
24%
34%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2022 |
ALI
1 - 1
ALS
48%
24%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
ALS
0 - 1
SUN
56%
23%
22%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Ittihad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2023 |
ALI
0 - 1
ALH
45%
25%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2022 |
ABH
1 - 2
ALI
28%
25%
47%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
ALI
3 - 0
ALT
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2022 |
ALI
1 - 1
ALS
48%
24%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ALI
1 - 0
ALW
66%
21%
13%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |