Al Nejmeh vs Bourj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
28.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Nejmeh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
ALN
5 - 0
SEB
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
TRI
0 - 0
ALN
28%
27%
46%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
ALN
0 - 0
SAF
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
ALA
2 - 2
ALN
44%
24%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -3 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
ALA
1 - 1
ALN
44%
24%
32%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bourj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
BOU
1 - 1
ALA
38%
28%
35%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
BOU
1 - 1
TAD
53%
27%
21%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
BOU
1 - 0
ALA
34%
26%
40%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
BOU
0 - 2
ALA
29%
22%
50%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
BOU
4 - 1
ALA
47%
24%
29%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |