Al-Nassr vs Al-Khaleej analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
3º
10º
3º
37
6º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
80 | 83 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
67 | 68 |
3º
|
36.5% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
4º
|
39.5% | |
|
5º
|
65 | 66 |
5º
|
62% | |
|
6º
|
57 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 46 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 46 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
35% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 38 |
10º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 38 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 37 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 37 |
13º
|
31% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
48% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 34 |
15º
|
67% | |
|
16º
|
31 | 32 |
16º
|
60.5% | |
|
17º
|
30 | 31 |
17º
|
72.5% | |
|
18º
|
21 | 22 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
36.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
63.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2025 |
ALN
1 - 1
ALT
55%
24%
22%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2025 |
ALA
0 - 9
ALN
36%
26%
38%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
ALN
2 - 3
ALI
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2025 |
ALN
2 - 3
KAW
40%
23%
36%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
YFM
1 - 4
ALN
60%
21%
20%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Al-Khaleej
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2025 |
ALO
1 - 2
ALK
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
ALK
1 - 2
ALR
44%
27%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
ALI
2 - 1
ALK
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
ALK
1 - 1
ALQ
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
ALH
3 - 0
ALK
56%
22%
21%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |