Al-Nassr vs Abha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
20.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
ALI
1 - 0
ALN
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
ALN
3 - 1
ALB
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
DHA
0 - 3
ALN
32%
26%
42%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
ALN
2 - 1
ALT
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
ALW
0 - 4
ALN
28%
26%
45%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Abha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
ABH
2 - 2
ALF
30%
27%
43%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
ALF
2 - 0
ABH
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
ABH
1 - 2
ALW
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
ALS
2 - 0
ABH
54%
25%
22%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
ALR
3 - 1
ABH
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |