Al Nasar vs Al-Tadhamon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
1º
1º
1º
7
2º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
13 | 13 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 7 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 7 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
7 | 7 |
4º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Nasar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ALT
3 - 6
ALN
34%
25%
41%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ALK
7 - 2
ALN
54%
25%
22%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ALN
0 - 3
ALS
38%
26%
36%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2023 |
ALN
1 - 1
ALJ
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2023 |
ALQ
5 - 1
ALN
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Al-Tadhamon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ALT
3 - 6
ALN
34%
25%
41%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
ALT
0 - 5
ALQ
23%
25%
52%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
KAZ
5 - 2
ALT
58%
22%
20%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2023 |
ALT
0 - 3
AFH
44%
25%
32%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
ALS
1 - 0
ALT
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |