Al Najaf vs Baghdad FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
25%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
16%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Najaf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
QAS
1 - 2
ALN
36%
29%
36%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
ALN
1 - 0
ALN
43%
28%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
ALZ
0 - 0
ALN
44%
28%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ALN
1 - 0
ALK
43%
28%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ALT
2 - 1
ALN
50%
26%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Baghdad FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
BAG
1 - 2
ALZ
26%
30%
44%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
NSC
3 - 2
BAG
63%
23%
14%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
BAG
1 - 1
NAF
25%
30%
44%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
ALK
1 - 0
BAG
61%
24%
15%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ALQ
1 - 1
BAG
69%
20%
11%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |