Al Mosul vs Al Jaish analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
13.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Mosul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2011 |
ZAK
1 - 1
MOS
60%
25%
16%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2011 |
RAM
1 - 3
MOS
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
MOS
1 - 2
KAR
41%
30%
30%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2011 |
ALN
1 - 1
MOS
52%
26%
21%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2011 |
MOS
3 - 1
SAM
52%
28%
20%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Al Jaish
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2011 |
JAI
2 - 3
ALS
18%
26%
56%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2011 |
PES
3 - 0
JAI
67%
20%
13%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
JAI
0 - 3
ARB
14%
25%
62%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
ZAK
1 - 0
JAI
75%
18%
7%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2011 |
JAI
0 - 0
RAM
31%
28%
41%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |