Lebanon League Round 11

Al-Mabarrah vs Al Ahed analysis

Al-Mabarrah Al Ahed
54 ELO 56
-0.5% Tilt -4.8%
6214º General ELO ranking 4564º
10º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
42%
Al-Mabarrah
25.1%
Draw
32.9%
Al Ahed

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
Al-Mabarrah
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
32.9%
Win probability
Al Ahed
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Al-Mabarrah
-8%
+41%
Al Ahed

ELO progression

Al-Mabarrah
Al Ahed
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Al-Mabarrah
Al-Mabarrah
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Dec. 2011
SAF
Safa
2 - 0
Al-Mabarrah
ALM
49%
26%
26%
55 55 0 0
24 Dec. 2011
RAC
Racing Beirut
1 - 0
Al-Mabarrah
ALM
42%
27%
30%
55 55 0 0
18 Dec. 2011
ALA
Al Akhaa Al Ahli
4 - 2
Al-Mabarrah
ALM
48%
26%
26%
55 55 0 0
11 Dec. 2011
SHA
Shabab Sahel
0 - 0
Al-Mabarrah
ALM
48%
25%
26%
55 55 0 0
04 Dec. 2011
ALM
Al-Mabarrah
0 - 2
Tadamon Sour
TAD
50%
26%
24%
55 55 0 0

Matches

Al Ahed
Al Ahed
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jan. 2012
ALA
Al Ahed
3 - 0
Al Akhaa Al Ahli
ALA
56%
23%
21%
55 55 0 0
24 Dec. 2011
ALA
Al Ahed
1 - 0
Shabab Sahel
SHA
57%
23%
21%
55 55 0 0
18 Dec. 2011
TAD
Tadamon Sour
1 - 2
Al Ahed
ALA
37%
27%
37%
55 55 0 0
07 Dec. 2011
ALA
Al Ahed
2 - 2
Tripoli
TRI
55%
23%
22%
55 55 0 0
03 Dec. 2011
ALA
Al Ansar Beirut
1 - 0
Al Ahed
ALA
42%
25%
33%
55 55 0 0