Al-Jazira vs Esteghlal Tehran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
18%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Jazira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
AJA
2 - 0
ALS
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
SHA
1 - 4
AJA
19%
19%
62%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2012 |
EST
1 - 2
AJA
41%
23%
36%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
EMI
3 - 2
AJA
12%
18%
70%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
AJA
1 - 0
AJM
81%
13%
6%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Esteghlal Tehran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
EST
3 - 0
SAB
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
MES
1 - 3
EST
22%
29%
49%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2012 |
EST
1 - 2
AJA
41%
23%
36%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
EST
1 - 0
MAL
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
EST
2 - 2
ZOB
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |