AFC Cup Group B Round 6

Al-Jaish vs Al Zawraa analysis

Al-Jaish Al Zawraa
55 ELO 72
-24% Tilt -17.7%
4466º General ELO ranking 1498º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
13%
Al-Jaish
21.8%
Draw
65.2%
Al Zawraa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13%
Win probability
Al-Jaish
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
65.2%
Win probability
Al Zawraa
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Al-Jaish
-20%
+30%
Al Zawraa

ELO progression

Al-Jaish
Al Zawraa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Al-Jaish
Al-Jaish
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Apr. 2018
ALJ
Al-Jaish
1 - 1
Herafio Halab
HER
39%
28%
33%
55 55 0 0
15 Apr. 2018
TAL
Taliya
0 - 2
Al-Jaish
ALJ
43%
29%
28%
55 55 0 0
10 Apr. 2018
ALJ
Al-Jaish
1 - 0
Manama
MAN
39%
27%
35%
65 61 4 -10
05 Apr. 2018
ALJ
Al-Jaish
1 - 0
Al-Mohafaza
ALM
55%
27%
19%
65 52 13 0
01 Apr. 2018
ALJ
Al-Jaish
0 - 0
Al-Shorta SC
SHO
41%
29%
30%
55 55 0 +10

Matches

Al Zawraa
Al Zawraa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Apr. 2018
ALZ
Al Zawraa
1 - 0
Karbala
KAR
71%
19%
10%
72 60 12 0
16 Apr. 2018
ALZ
Al Zawraa
2 - 1
Manama
MAN
67%
19%
14%
73 62 11 -1
13 Apr. 2018
ALK
Al Kahrabaa
1 - 1
Al Zawraa
ALZ
21%
26%
53%
81 68 13 -8
10 Apr. 2018
ALZ
Al Zawraa
1 - 1
Al Ahed
ALA
65%
20%
16%
81 70 11 0
04 Apr. 2018
ALZ
Al Zawraa
1 - 2
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
ALQ
50%
25%
25%
81 80 1 0