AFC Champions League Elite Group D Round 6

Al-Jaish vs Al-Ahli SFC analysis

Al-Jaish Al-Ahli SFC
54 ELO 79
-2.6% Tilt -9.3%
4429º General ELO ranking 880º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
14.5%
Al-Jaish
21.1%
Draw
64.4%
Al-Ahli SFC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.5%
Win probability
Al-Jaish
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
64.4%
Win probability
Al-Ahli SFC
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Al-Jaish
-13%
+42%
Al-Ahli SFC

ELO progression

Al-Jaish
Al-Ahli SFC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Al-Jaish
Al-Jaish
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 May. 2005
UMA
Umayya
1 - 1
Al-Jaish
ALJ
50%
25%
25%
55 55 0 0
11 May. 2005
PAK
Pakhtakor
4 - 1
Al-Jaish
ALJ
84%
11%
6%
56 69 13 -1
06 May. 2005
ALJ
Al-Jaish
1 - 0
Al Hurriya
HOR
49%
25%
26%
55 55 0 +1
30 Apr. 2005
ALM
Al-Majd
1 - 0
Al-Jaish
ALJ
50%
26%
25%
55 55 0 0
24 Apr. 2005
ALJ
Al-Jaish
2 - 0
Hottin
HOT
50%
25%
26%
55 55 0 0

Matches

Al-Ahli SFC
Al-Ahli SFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 May. 2005
ALA
Al-Ahli SFC
5 - 1
Al Zawraa
ALZ
64%
20%
17%
79 73 6 0
08 May. 2005
ALA
Al-Ahli SFC
2 - 0
Al-Qadsiah FC
ALQ
58%
22%
20%
78 75 3 +1
20 Apr. 2005
PAK
Pakhtakor
2 - 1
Al-Ahli SFC
ALA
45%
23%
33%
78 69 9 0
06 Apr. 2005
ALA
Al-Ahli SFC
3 - 0
Pakhtakor
PAK
69%
18%
13%
78 69 9 0
27 Mar. 2005
ALA
Al-Ahli SFC
2 - 3
Al-Nassr
ALN
52%
23%
25%
78 78 0 0