AFC Champions League Elite Quarter-finals
Al-Ittihad vs Dalian Shide analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
22.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ittihad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2004 |
DAL
1 - 1
ALI
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2004 |
ALI
1 - 1
ALI
35%
26%
39%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2004 |
ALT
2 - 0
ALI
22%
25%
53%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2004 |
ALI
4 - 1
OHO
89%
8%
3%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2004 |
ALI
0 - 1
ALS
57%
21%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Dalian Shide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2004 |
DAL
1 - 1
ALI
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2004 |
DAL
0 - 0
SHE
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2004 |
DAL
2 - 1
BEI
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
DAL
0 - 0
QIN
76%
16%
8%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2004 |
GUA
1 - 0
DAL
26%
27%
47%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |