Al Ittihad Kalba vs Al Nasr Dubai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
26%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
8º
12º
10º
38
5º
14º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 62 |
1º
|
87.5% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 58 |
2º
|
87.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 47 |
3º
|
52% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 46 |
4º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 42 |
5º
|
66.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 39 |
6º
|
69.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 37 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 34 |
8º
|
46.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 33 |
9º
|
40% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 28 |
10º
|
63.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 27 |
11º
|
71.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 22 |
12º
|
73% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 18 |
13º
|
81.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 9 |
14º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ittihad Kalba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
ALI
2 - 1
SHA
25%
23%
52%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
ALI
1 - 3
SAD
22%
25%
53%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
WAH
2 - 1
ALI
71%
19%
11%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
SHA
2 - 3
ALI
71%
18%
12%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
ALI
2 - 1
HAT
57%
22%
21%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Al Nasr Dubai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
ALN
0 - 2
BAT
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
SAD
3 - 3
ALN
71%
19%
11%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
ALN
0 - 2
AIN
13%
19%
67%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ALN
1 - 0
AIN
12%
22%
66%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
HAT
0 - 3
ALN
38%
26%
37%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +2 |