Super Cup Saudi Arabia Semi-finals

Al-Hilal SFC vs Al-Nassr analysis

Al-Hilal SFC Al-Nassr
78 ELO 76
15% Tilt 11.8%
834º General ELO ranking 870º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
44.2%
Al-Hilal SFC
22.3%
Draw
33.5%
Al-Nassr

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
Al-Hilal SFC
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
33.5%
Win probability
Al-Nassr
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Al-Hilal SFC
+29%
+22%
Al-Nassr

ELO progression

Al-Hilal SFC
Al-Nassr
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Al-Hilal SFC
Al-Hilal SFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Apr. 2024
ALK
Al-Khaleej
1 - 4
Al-Hilal SFC
ALH
36%
26%
38%
77 75 2 0
02 Apr. 2024
ALH
Al-Hilal SFC
3 - 0
Al-Okhdood
ALA
64%
20%
15%
77 68 9 0
30 Mar. 2024
ALS
Al-Shabab
3 - 4
Al-Hilal SFC
ALH
41%
26%
33%
77 77 0 0
16 Mar. 2024
ALH
Al-Hilal SFC
2 - 1
Damac FC
DHA
49%
24%
27%
77 77 0 0
12 Mar. 2024
ALI
Al-Ittihad
0 - 2
Al-Hilal SFC
ALH
45%
24%
32%
77 76 1 0

Matches

Al-Nassr
Al-Nassr
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Apr. 2024
DHA
Damac FC
0 - 1
Al-Nassr
ALN
37%
25%
38%
77 77 0 0
02 Apr. 2024
ABH
Abha
0 - 8
Al-Nassr
ALN
26%
25%
49%
77 69 8 0
30 Mar. 2024
ALN
Al-Nassr
5 - 1
Al-Tai SC
ALT
67%
20%
14%
77 70 7 0
15 Mar. 2024
ALA
Al-Ahli SFC
0 - 1
Al-Nassr
ALN
38%
25%
37%
77 77 0 0
11 Mar. 2024
ALN
Al-Nassr
4 - 3
Al-Ain
AIN
49%
23%
28%
76 76 0 +1