CAF Champions Last 16
Global 4-1
Al-Hilal Omdurman vs Enugu Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
63.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Hilal Omdurman
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2006 |
ALH
2 - 2
POR
54%
23%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2006 |
ALH
1 - 1
ALM
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
ENU
1 - 0
ALH
76%
16%
8%
|
45 | 73 | 28 | -3 |
| 09 Mar. 2006 |
JAZ
0 - 0
ALH
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +3 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
ALH
3 - 0
ASP
50%
23%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -3 |
Matches
Enugu Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
ENU
1 - 0
ALH
76%
16%
8%
|
73 | 45 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
ENU
1 - 0
POL
74%
17%
9%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
POL
2 - 2
ENU
17%
22%
60%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
ENU
2 - 0
KWA
47%
28%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2005 |
DOL
1 - 0
ENU
50%
27%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |