Al-Hilal Omdurman vs Alfalah Atbra analysis


38	ELO	37
5.7%	Tilt	-5.4%
9684º	General ELO ranking	7780º
20º	Country ELO ranking	5º
ELO win probability

63%

Al-Hilal Omdurman

18.9%

Draw

18.2%

Alfalah Atbra

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

63%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%

18.9%

Draw

0-0

2.9%

1-1

8.1%

2-2

5.7%

3-3

1.8%

4-4

0.3%

5-5

<0%

0

18.8%

18.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+155%

-20%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

2º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

50

1º

29

6º

17º

11º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

13º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
2º	50	66	1º	81.5%
3º	48	62	2º	81.5%
1º	51	51	3º	100%
4º	42	42	4º	65%
6º	37	41	5º	41%
5º	38	39	6º	52.5%
10º	35	38	7º	32%
7º	36	37	8º	38%
9º	35	35	9º	15.5%
8º	35	35	10º	28.5%
13º	29	33	11º	27.5%
11º	32	33	12º	43%
12º	32	32	13º	68.5%
14º	28	29	14º	80%
15º	27	27	15º	81.5%
16º	25	25	16º	52.5%
17º	24	25	17º	51%
18º	22	23	18º	70.5%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

CAF Champions League	100%	0%
CAF Confederation Cup	0%	0%
Mid-table	0%	100%
Relegation	0%	0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Al-Hilal Omdurman

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
14 Apr. 2023	ALH 5 - 0 ASH 56% 22% 22%	38	38	0	0
10 Apr. 2023	MAN 2 - 1 ALH 77% 16% 7%	39	60	21	-1
05 Apr. 2023	ZOM 0 - 3 ALH 18% 20% 62%	38	25	13	+1
01 Apr. 2023	ALA 3 - 0 ALH 83% 12% 4%	45	75	30	-7
18 Mar. 2023	ALH 1 - 1 SUN 9% 17% 75%	44	74	30	+1

Matches

Alfalah Atbra

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
09 Apr. 2023	AAS 1 - 1 AFA 36% 25% 39%	37	33	4	0
06 Apr. 2023	ALA 0 - 0 AFA 36% 25% 39%	37	33	4	0
31 Mar. 2023	ALR 0 - 0 AFA 32% 24% 44%	37	31	6	0
21 Mar. 2023	AFA 0 - 1 WNK 56% 21% 23%	38	37	1	-1
17 Mar. 2023	ALA 0 - 0 AFA 36% 25% 39%	38	36	2	0