Al Hilal vs Al-Ittihad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.2%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
27.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
3º
5º
4º
3
4º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
10 | 10 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 9 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 7 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
6 | 6 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
5 | 5 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
3 | 3 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Hilal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
ALH
0 - 0
ASS
50%
28%
22%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2023 |
ANB
0 - 0
ALH
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
ASF
2 - 1
ALH
37%
30%
34%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
ALH
3 - 1
ALA
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
ATB
0 - 2
ALH
23%
29%
48%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Al-Ittihad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
ITT
1 - 2
AAB
44%
29%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
ITT
0 - 0
TRI
46%
29%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
ITT
0 - 0
ALA
52%
27%
21%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
ASS
1 - 0
ITT
33%
31%
36%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2023 |
ITT
4 - 0
ASA
49%
27%
25%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |