Arabian Gulf Cup UAE Quarter-finals
Global 1-5
Al Dhafra vs Al Nasr Dubai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
52.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Dhafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
ALD
3 - 0
BAY
60%
19%
21%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
ALD
2 - 0
AJM
21%
21%
58%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
ALK
4 - 3
ALD
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ALD
0 - 1
SHA
9%
20%
71%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
BAY
5 - 0
ALD
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Al Nasr Dubai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2022 |
CIT
0 - 5
ALN
8%
13%
79%
|
62 | 37 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
BAT
2 - 1
ALN
38%
22%
39%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
SAD
3 - 0
ALN
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
ALN
0 - 2
AJA
22%
25%
53%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ALI
5 - 3
ALN
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |