Al Defaa vs Karkuk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Defaa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2002 |
DUH
1 - 1
ADI
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2002 |
ADI
1 - 1
KAR
53%
24%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2002 |
ADI
1 - 1
ALS
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2002 |
ADI
1 - 1
ALI
72%
18%
11%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2002 |
RAM
1 - 2
ADI
26%
26%
48%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Karkuk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2002 |
DIW
0 - 1
KFC
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2002 |
KFC
0 - 3
ALS
29%
28%
43%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2002 |
ALN
1 - 0
KFC
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2002 |
KFC
0 - 1
ALZ
29%
27%
45%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2002 |
KFC
1 - 2
DUH
29%
27%
44%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |