Iraq League Round 5

Al Defaa vs Al Simawa analysis

Al Defaa Al Simawa
71 ELO 67
-1.8% Tilt -2.2%
35758º General ELO ranking 30924º
74º Country ELO ranking 62º
ELO win probability
58.7%
Al Defaa
23.3%
Draw
18%
Al Simawa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
Al Defaa
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18%
Win probability
Al Simawa
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Al Defaa
Al Simawa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Al Defaa
Al Defaa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Sep. 2002
ALN
Al Najaf
1 - 0
Al Defaa
ADI
51%
25%
24%
71 72 1 0
20 Sep. 2002
ADI
Al Defaa
2 - 0
Al Mosul
MOS
58%
23%
19%
70 66 4 +1
13 Sep. 2002
ADI
Al Defaa
0 - 1
Al Minaa
ALM
44%
26%
30%
70 72 2 0
06 Sep. 2002
ALT
Al Talaba
3 - 0
Al Defaa
ADI
55%
23%
22%
71 72 1 -1
17 May. 2002
ADI
Al Defaa
0 - 1
Al Jaish
JAI
58%
23%
19%
72 69 3 -1

Matches

Al Simawa
Al Simawa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Sep. 2002
NAS
Al-Nasiriya
0 - 1
Al Simawa
ALS
43%
27%
31%
66 63 3 0
20 Sep. 2002
DUH
Duhok
3 - 2
Al Simawa
ALS
64%
22%
15%
67 72 5 -1
13 Sep. 2002
ALZ
Al Zawraa
1 - 0
Al Simawa
ALS
63%
22%
15%
67 72 5 0
06 Sep. 2002
JAI
Al Jaish
1 - 1
Al Simawa
ALS
59%
23%
19%
67 69 2 0
17 May. 2002
ALS
Al Sinaah
1 - 0
Al Simawa
ALS
47%
26%
28%
68 66 2 -1